Development of analytical tools for business analysis based on data from official reports to improve the reliability of knowledge about the business condition of the enterprise of interest
Objective
Analysis of the economic activity of a major enterprise and forecast of the main technical and economic metrics solely on the basis of monitoring the enterprise metrics taken from official sources
Subject
Co-authors
Irik Ziryatovich Mukhametzyanov
Doctor of Physical and Mathematical Sciences, Professor of the Department of Information Technologies and Mathematics, Ufa State Petroleum Technological University, Ufa, Russian Federation
Ilya Dmitrievich Piorunsky
Managing Partner, Chemical Leaders LLC, Moscow, Russian Federation
Gulnara Igorevna Sumberg
Finance Director, Epos OJSC, St. Petersburg, Russian Federation
  • A toolkit has been developed for evaluating management decisions based on the volatility of income and expenditure indicators, making it possible to evaluate the effectiveness of technical and economic decisions.
  • A hybrid approach has been developed for forecasting the main technical and economic indicators based on economic models, making it possible to forecast individual technical and economic indicators taking into account the dynamics and trends in the entire set of indicators reflecting various aspects of activity.
  • The proposed analytical tools for business analysis based on data from official reports were tested on the data of three large industrial enterprises of the chemical industry.
Results